Miami Heat at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The New York Knicks (28-17) welcome the Miami Heat (24-21) to Madison Square Garden Saturday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Heat vs. Knicks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Knicks lead 1-0.

The Knicks beat the Heat at home Nov. 24 100-98, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. They are coming off a 122-84 home win over the Denver Nuggets Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. New York has covered in 3 straight games and is 25-18-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. It is 10-3 ATS in 2024. The Knicks are led by G Jalen Brunson, who is averaging 26.5 points per game.

The Heat lost to the Boston Celtics 143-110 Thursday, failing to cover as an 8.5-point home underdog. Miami has been struggling as of late, losing 5 in a row and failing to cover in each. It is 4-8-1 ATS since Jan. 1 and just 5-8 straight up in that span. The Heat recently traded for G Terry Rozier, who is averaging 22.3 points per game.

Heat at Knicks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Knicks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +4.5 (-110) | Knicks -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Heat at Knicks key injuries

Heat

None

Knicks

C Isaiah Hartenstein (Achilles) questionable
C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 108, Heat 105

Moneyline

PASS.

The Knicks have been cruising as of late, and they should do so at home. However, at -180, they are too expensive to play outright.

Against the spread

LEAN HEAT +4.5 (-110).

The Heat aren't going to be the popular play here, but their defense has been rock solid as of late. They have allowed 110 or fewer points in 6 of their last 8 and in 3 of their last 4. The Celtics shot over 60% on Miami Thursday, which likely won't be repeated by New York.

Miami has capable scoring options and quality defenders. The Knicks have covered well as of late, but they are just 1-2 ATS as a favorite of 4.5 or more in their last 3 home games. Expect a close battle so back HEAT +4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 218.5 (-112).

If there's one thing both teams have done well lately and all season, it is hit the Under. New York is 19-26 O/U on the season and has gone Under in 7 straight games.

The addition of F OG Anunoby has enhanced their defense. The Knicks have allowed 100 or fewer in 5 of their last 7. The Heat are 19-26 O/U as well and have gone Under in 7 of their last 8. Both teams have been defending at a high level.

Expect that to continue and take UNDER 218.5 (-112).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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