TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions
The No. 14 Baylor Bears (14-4, 3-2 Big 12) welcome the TCU Horned Frogs (14-5, 3-3) to Foster Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Baylor is No. 14 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. It lost to the Texas Longhorns on the road 75-73 Saturday, covering as a 3-point underdog. The Bears have lost 2 straight games yet are still 3-2 in conference play and 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in Big 12 action. They are led by F Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 15.2 points per game.
TCU beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys 74-69 Tuesday, covering as a 4.5-point road favorite. The Horned Frogs have covered just 1 of their last 3 yet are 4-2 ATS in conference play. They are 11-8 ATS on the season and 6-2 ATS over their last 8. TCU is led by F Emanuel Miller, who is averaging 16.5 points per game.
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TCU at Baylor odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): TCU +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Baylor -200 (bet $2010 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): TCU +4.5 (-110) | Baylor -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
TCU at Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 79, TCU 73
Moneyline
PASS.
Baylor is a perfect 2-0 at home and has the rest advantage. It should come out on top but is too expensive on the moneyline at -200.
Against the spread
BET BAYLOR -4.5 (-110).
Baylor is 3-2-1 ATS with a rest advantage this season. It has lost 2 straight games, but those were both on the road while TCU is playing in its second-straight road battle. The Bears have covered in 3 of their last 4 home games.
TCU has failed to cover in 2 of its last 3 and has lost 2 of road conference games. It has allowed 80 or more in 2 of 3 Big 12 road games as well. Considering its struggles on the road and the Bears rest advantage, take BAYLOR -4.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 149.5 (-110).
Both teams have been marginally better at hitting the Over this season with Baylor 9-8 O/U and TCU 10-9 O/U on the season. The Horned Frogs have scored at least 70 in 3 straight and at least 75 in 4 of their last 7.
Both teams have their top-6 scoring options shooting at least 42% from the field, so the consistency on the offensive end is there. Baylor has scored at least 75 in 3 of 5 conference games.
With that in mind, back OVER 149.5 (-110).
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