Utah State at Boise State odds, picks and predictions
The Utah State Aggies (17-2, 5-1 Mountain West) and Boise State Broncos (14-5, 5-1) tussle Saturday. The opening tipoff at ExtraMile Arena will be at 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Utah State vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Utah State, which is No. 20 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, filed its lone Mountain West loss 2 games back (99-86 at New Mexico). In their last game -- last Saturday vs. Fresno State -- the Aggies bounced back, covering a -13.5 in an 83-62 triumph. The MWC's 2nd-leading offense (82.2 points per game) has scored 80-plus points in 6 of its last 7 games.
Boise State lost to UNLV Jan. 16 but has won twice since. The Broncos' most recent game was Tuesday when they failed to cover a -5.5 in a 72-68 win over Fresno State. The league's top defense (65.2 PPG) has held foes under 70 points in 10 straight games.
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Utah State at Boise State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Utah State +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Boise State -146 (bet $146 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +2.5 (-105) | Boise State -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Utah State at Boise State picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 71, Utah State 70
Moneyline
KenPom pegs this as a top-60 match-up, with USU at No. 43 and BSU (-146) at No. 57. With the Broncos being at home, figure on these prices as being fair.
PASS.
Against the spread
Boise State is 2-4 ATS when facing teams that average 77 or more points.
Utah State generates a slew of dunks and close-proximity looks. Tempo-wise, the Aggies are in the fastest 3rd in NCAA-I ranks, and BSU has not played too many like foes.
The Broncos dominated this series over recent years, but USU should have some confidence after sweeping Boise State in 2 games (SU and ATS) last March. BSU is 0-2-1 ATS over its last 3 games; its inside-the-arc shooting in all 3 games was subpar.
Boise may well come out on top at home, but Utah State has a fair shot at an outright victory and should be close at the end.
BACK THE AGGIES +2.5 (-105).
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Over/Under
Boise State games have seen the Under go 8-4 when the Broncos play teams over .500. When BSU takes on teams averaging 77-plus points, the Under is 4-1. The Under is 4-2 in USU's road games.
The match-up has some tempo clash, with the home 5 providing the slowdown. Both teams excel on the defensive boards and in 3-point defense.
Boise State games have cashed on the Under in 4 of the Broncos' last 5, and the UNDER 145.5 (-110) is the value side in Saturday's game.
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