2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Cameron DaSilva | Staff Writer

The PGA Tour is rolling out a new format for the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this year, cutting the field down from 180 players to 80 and eliminating the cut in this Signature Event. Rather than being played over 3 courses, the field will split Thursday and Friday between Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill, before playing Pebble in the final 2 rounds.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler is the co-favorite to win this week and is also the top-ranked golfer in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. The other co-favorite, Rory McIlroy, is ranked 4th by Golfweek/Sagarin, with Xander Schuaffele and Viktor Hovland being No. 2 and 3. Defending champion Justin Rose is ranked 49th coming into the week.

Both Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill are par-72 courses, but Pebble is slightly shorter (6,972 yards) than Spyglass (7,041). Both feature small, poa annua greens, which emphasize ball striking from the fairway and accuracy off the tee.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+375)

Cantlay is one of the few stars who has played this event regularly over the years, which bodes well for his chances of notching another strong finish. In his last 3 starts at Pebble, he's finished 4th, 3rd and 11th. Despite that strong track record, there are still 7 players with better top-5 odds than Cantlay, which seems wrong.

Jordan Spieth (+333)

Spieth is a regular in this event, playing it every year. He has 3 top-10s in the last 4 years, and he won it in 2017. Spieth has as much experience in this tournament as anyone in the field and with so many of the other top players skipping Pebble each season, that makes him an even better value for a top-5.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-10 picks

Max Homa (+160)

Homa loves playing in California and the Pebble Beach Pro-Am is a tournament he'd be thrilled to win. In his last 3 starts here, he's finished 7th, 14th and 10th, though he hasn't played here in the last 2 years. Very quietly, he hasn't finished worse than 21st in any of his worldwide starts since the Travelers Championship last June.

Jason Day (+275)

Day has come very close to winning this tournament in the past, with 5 top-10 finishes since 2016 and with no finish worse than 24th in that span – including the 2019 U.S. Open when he came in 21st. He surprisingly missed the cut last week, but he's played relatively well so far this season.

Russell Henley (+300)

Henley's ball striking will be an advantage this week at a course where accuracy is more valuable than distance. He hasn't played this event since 2019 and is just 2-for-4 in made cuts, but he finished 15th in 2018.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Eric Cole (+400)
Ludvig Aberg (+220)

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-20 picks

Nick Taylor (+250)

Taylor finished 7th at the Sony Open before missing the cut at The American Express a couple of weeks ago in what's been an up-and-down start to the year. He's played Pebble Beach in each of the last 5 years, winning in 2020 with no finish worse than 39th and adding 2 top-20s in the last 2 years.

Adam Schenk (+260)

Schenk came in 25th at the Farmers Insurance Open last week, his 2nd top-30 finish of the season thus far. He's made the cut in 3 of his last 4 starts here, with his most recent finish being 37th in 2023.

Tom Hoge (+275)

Hoge won this event back in 2022 and finished 12th in 2021, making the cut in each of his last 4 starts at Pebble Beach. He finished 48th here last year but could be in for another solid week with no cut.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Justin Thomas (+105) vs. Collin Morikawa (-130)

Thomas looks to be back in top form, finishing in the top 5 in each of his last 4 worldwide starts. Morikawa is playing well, too, but he's coming off a missed cut at Torrey Pines and at plus-money, Thomas is the much better value.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top Australian

Jason Day (+130)

Day has the most experience in this event of any Australian in the field, coming in the top 10 in 3 of his last 4 starts, with nothing worse than 24th. Adam Scott and Cam Davis are the only other Australians playing this week, but Day has the edge over both of them in recent form and course history.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group A winner: Max Homa (+500)

Homa is in the big guns group this week, battling Scheffler (+275), McIlroy (+260), Schauffele (+400) and Hovland (+400) in this bet. Homa has the longest odds of the bunch, but with his consistency and the others' lack of history at Pebble Beach, I like his chances of finishing the highest of his other four competitors.

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