Baylor at UCF odds, picks and predictions

The No. 18 Baylor Bears (14-5, 3-3 Big 12) face off against the UCF Knights (12-7, 3-4) Wednesday. Tip-off from Addition Financial Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Baylor vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Baylor suffered a 105-102 loss in triple OT vs. the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday while failing to cover as a 4-point home favorite. The Bears have now lost 3 consecutive games straight up and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) during this streak. Each of the Bears' last 3 losses have come by 4 points or fewer.

UCF was handed a 68-57 loss by the Cincinnati Bearcats Saturday while failing to cover as a 7.5-point road underdog. UCF has been held under 60 points in each of its last 4 losses. The Knights have now lost 3 of their last 5 and have not strung together back-to-back wins or losses in 7 straight outings.

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Baylor at UCF odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:45 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Baylor -156 (bet $156 to win $100) | UCF +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
• Against the spread (ATS): Baylor -3.5 (-102) | UCF +3.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor at UCF picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 72, UCF 66

Moneyline

LEAN BAYLOR (-156).

Baylor, despite its current cold streak, is the better team here. The Bears are much better on offense and average more points and assists than the Knights while also shooting over 8% better from the floor than UCF (49.4% to 41%). UCF is better defensively, but the Knights are not good enough defensively to make up for their offensive shortcomings here.

This is only a lean because the Knights have not lost back-to-back games this season and because morale on the Baylor squad is likely low due to its current streak of losing close games.

Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Bears -3.5 (-102) to cover here, but I like their odds on the moneyline better as UCF has been just as solid ATS this season as Baylor has. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 138.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 consecutive games for the Knights and is 8-2 in their last 10 outings overall. The Under is also 4-2 in Baylor's last 6 overall. The Under has also been safer for UCF this year, going 11-8.

The Under is also the safer bet here because UCF has had a lot of offensive struggles lately, and Baylor's defense is solid enough to keep that trend going here.

This is only a lean because the Over has been slightly safer for the Bears this season and because Baylor is very solid offensively.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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