St. Bonaventure at Dayton odds, picks and predictions
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (13-7, 4-4 A-10) and Dayton Flyers (17-3, 7-1) tussle in a Friday Atlantic-10 affair in southwest Ohio. Tip-off at UD Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the St. Bonaventure vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
St. Bonaventure won its last 2 games and covered the spread in both. On Tuesday, the Bonnies (-4) dealt VCU a 67-62 defeat despite shooting just 35.6% from the floor. SBU is one of the top offensive rebounding (10.4 per game) and free-throw shooting squads (78.7%) in the A-10, and it leveraged both strengths in the home-court win over the Rams.
Dayton, ranked No. 19 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, lost at Richmond Saturday 69-64 as a 4-point favorite and is now in 2nd place in the A-10, a game behind the Spiders (16-5, 8-0). The Flyers bounced back Tuesday from their 1st loss since November with an 83-61 triumph over visiting George Washington -- covering as 12.5-point favorites.
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St. Bonaventure at Dayton odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:56 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: St. Bonaventure +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | Dayton -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): St. Bonaventure +7.5 (-110) | Dayton -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
St. Bonaventure at Dayton picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 73, St. Bonaventure 64
Moneyline
PASS.
Dayton (-320) is the lean, but it's a lean worth pursuing against the number.
Against the spread
St. Bonaventure is 2-4 ATS as an underdog. Dayton is 15-9 ATS over its last 24 late-season games (past game No. 15) against teams with winning records. Plus, the Flyers are 7-1 ATS across the last 8 games of this series.
UD is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 home games against the Bonnies, and those ATS wins were by comfortable margins -- 18. 26 and 10 points.
The Flyers have played the tougher slate so far. UD's offense can get overlooked because its slow tempo mitigates gaudy numbers, but Dayton is efficient at that end. The Flyers take care of the ball, and they figure to have enough of an advantage in frees (free throws) and 3's to put this one in double-digit territory.
TAKE DAYTON -7.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
The O/U has been a 3-3 split the last 6 meetings.
This matchup figures to have a bottom-quartile pace but one with some transition opportunities for the Bonnies, some extra foul shots for the Flyers and likely lots of 3's all around.
PASS on the current total, but if the number drops below 133, an Over bet would be worth some partial-unit action.
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