Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Denver Nuggets (34-16) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (15-34) to Ball Arena Sunday. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0

The Nuggets beat the Trail Blazers in the last game for each team. They won 120-108 Friday yet failed to cover as a 14-point favorite.

Denver has won 6 of its last 8, but is just 3-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 21-28-1 ATS on the season. The Nuggets are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 home games. MVP candidate C Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.3 points, 12.3 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game.

The Trail Blazers have covered 3 straight games, winning 2 of them. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and 24-25 ATS on the season. Portland is led by G Anfernee Simons, who is averaging 23.1 points per game.

Trail Blazers at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Nuggets -820 (bet $820 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +13 (-110) | Nuggets -13 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Nuggets key injuries

Trail Blazers

F Jerami Grant (back) questionable
G Shaedon Sharpe (abdominal) out
C Robert Williams III (knee) out

Nuggets

G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (finger) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Trail Blazers 105

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets are the far better side and should win. However at -820 there's no value here.

Against the spread

LEAN NUGGETS -13 (-110).

The Nuggets haven't covered well as a double-digit favorite lately, but they did have 3 more turnovers in their 12-point win Friday. Well, considering that's an anomaly with Denver 9th in turnover rate and the Trail Blazers 26th, those turnovers flipping may have resulted in a cover.

Denver has covered 2 of its last 3 as well. The Blazers are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games and in their last 5 home games. That said, expect Denver to take better care from the ball. Back NUGGETS -13 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 220 (-110).

The Trail Blazers are 2-3 O/U in their last 5 games and 22-27 O/U on the season. They have scored 108 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games. Portland ranks 21st in pace, so it doesn't necessarily play at a high tempo either.

The Nuggets sit 29th in pace, so they won't look to speed things up. Denver is 1-7 O/U in its last 8 games and has allowed 108 or fewer in 4 straight games and has scored 114 or fewer in 7 of its last 8.

Considering those trends, take OVER 220 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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