Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The New York Knicks (33-18) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (28-23) to Madison Square Garden Thursday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Mavericks vs. Knicks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0, beating the Knicks at home 128-124 on Jan. 11 to cover as a 4.5-point underdog

Dallas is are coming off a 119-107 win over the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday, covering as a 3-point favorite. The Mavs have covered in 2 straight wins and are 26-25 ATS on the season.

The Knicks beat the Memphis Grizzlies 123-113 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 13-point home favorite. New York has won 10 of its last 11 games and has covered 8 of those. It has covered 5 of its last 7 home games and the Knicks are a strong 29-20-2 ATS on the season. They are led by G Jalen Brunson, who is averaging 27.2 points per game.

Mavericks at Knicks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -196 (bet $196 to win $100) | Knicks +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -4.5 (-110) | Knicks +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Mavericks at Knicks key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (nose) probable
G Kyrie Irving (thumb) probable
C Dereck Lively II (nasal) out

Knicks

F OG Anunoby (elbow) out
G Jalen Brunson (ankle) questionable
F Julius Randle (shoulder) shoulder
C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Knicks 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Knicks have been too good to bet against, but the better value is on the spread given the amount of points given. Look there for the team-specific play.

Against the spread

LEAN KNICKS +4.5 (-110).

New York has been strong ATS at home, going 15-9-1 ATS in Madison Square Garden. Better yet, the Knicks are 3-1-1 ATS as a home underdog. They are also 17-15 ATS following a win, which they are. The Mavs have disappointed after winning, and they are just 11-16 ATS following a victory.

The Mavs have failed to cover in 4 of their last 6 games. They have won 2 straight, both on the road, but neither have been against a team of New York's caliber. Expect the Knicks to keep this game close. Back KNICKS +4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 230.5 (-108).

If there's something both teams have been good at lately, it is hitting the Under.

The Knicks are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games, having scored 109 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 games. They have held their opponent to 113 or fewer in 13 straight games as well, a combination of a strong defense with Anunoby and a slow pace.

The Mavs are 0-4 O/U in their last 4 games and have allowed 107 or fewer in 2 straight. They have gone Under in 8 of their last 10 games as well.

Considering the trends for both teams, back UNDER 230.5 (-108).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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