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2024 Super Bowl: 5 best prop bets


The San Francisco 49ers (14-5) and the Kansas City Chiefs (14-6) meet in Super Bowl LVIII Sunday in Las Vegas. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook'sodds for 5 Best Super Bowl LVIII prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The best props aren't always the most obvious ones in the Super Bowl. Sometimes, it's the bit players and oddball props which are the best wagers.

We have a good idea what the Chiefs do in the big game, but the 49ers are a little bit of an unknown. The last time the Niners were in the Super Bowl in 2020 against the Chiefs, QB Jimmy Garoppolo was running the offense, RB Raheem Mostert was the top tailback, WR Kendrick Bourne led the team in receiving yardage, QB Brock Purdy was 21 years old, and under center at Iowa State and RB Christian McCaffrey was in Carolina.

That's a lot changes in 4 years.

Check out the best Super Bowl prop bets, plus these from BetMGMDraftKingsFanDuel | Fanatics Sportsbook

Best Super Bowl prop bets

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:12 p.m. ET.

Chiefs: First drive outcome -- FG ATTEMPT (+380)

The 49ers defense is stout, but teams have gotten off to a hot start against it so far in the postseason.

The Packers rolled down the field in the Divisional Round, chewing up nearly half of the 1st quarter on the 1st drive before settling for a field goal. The Lions had a 4-play, 75-yard touchdown in just 1:42 to begin the NFC Championship Game. That's 2 playoff games, and 2 scores.

So how will the Super Bowl go? The Chiefs have more postseason experience than either of the 2 quarterbacks the Niners have faced so far. The 1st drive of the Chiefs should result in a score.

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49ers RB Elijah Mitchell OVER 3.5 RUSHING YARDS (-120)

Mitchell isn't going to roll up huge numbers, as long as McCaffrey stays healthy. However, we should see Mitchell get a handful of carries, and getting just 4 rushing yards or more should be a slam-dunk play. CMC will need a blow every now and again.

Mitchell tallied 7 rushing yards in the NFC Championship Game, and averaged 3.7 yards per carry during the regular season. Even if he receives just 2 carries to spell CMC, if he hits his season average, the Over cashes.

49ers QB Brock Purdy OVER 0.5 INTS THROWN (-132)

Purdy will make NFL history as the lowest draft pick ever to start a Super Bowl. This will be his 1st Super Bowl start, and he is a good bet to at least have one miscue.

There is some risk here, as Kansas City recorded just 8 interceptions during the regular season. However, this is an experienced quarterback who could potentially fold under the pressure at some point.

TOTAL PASSING TDS IN THE GAME - UNDER 3.5 (-110)

So far in the postseason, the 49ers saw a combined 3 passing TDs in the Divisional Round game against the Packers, while managing a total of 2 passing scores in the NFC Championship Game with the Lions.

For the Chiefs, they combined for 2 passing TDs during frigid conditions against the Dolphins in the wild-card round, 3 TDs through the air combined against the Bills, and a just one passing score apiece against the Ravens in the AFC title game.

So now both of these teams are indoors for the 1st time in the postseason. With a lack of elements, will we see more aerial production? Well, the defenses are still stout, and 3 or fewer combined passing scores is still the best play.

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RACE TO: 80+ RUSHING YARDS - CHRISTIAN MCCAFFERY (-125)

It's basically McCaffrey vs. Pacheco, and there won't be any other major contributors in the run game.

Pacheco has hit 89 or more rushing yards in 2 of 3 postseason games so far, so this isn't the mismatch that a lot of people might think. He has averaged 4.0 yards per rushing attempts in his 3 postseason games, and 4.6 yards per tote during the regular season. Reasonably, he will get 18-20 attempts, putting him right in the mix to get to 80 yards.

However, this is a prop which is first to 80 or more. McCaffrey has run for 90 or more yards in both postseason games, while hitting the mark in 7 of the past 8 outings dating back to Thanksgiving.

McCaffrey will likely be used a lot more early in the game, as head coach Mike Shanahan leans on his veteran back to take some pressure off of his quarterback. Pacheco will likely not see nearly as many first-half rushing attempts, as QB Patrick Mahomes slings it around to TE Travis Kelce, WR Rashee Rice and company. CMC should get to at least 80 yards first.

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