Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16) to American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Thunder vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Thunder lead 1-0.

The Mavericks lost to the Thunder 126-120 at home Dec. 2, failing to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. They are 27-25 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 3-0 ATS in their last 3. Dallas has won 3 straight and 4 of its last 6. It is coming off a 122-108 road win over the New York Knicks Thursday, covering as a 6-point favorite. The Mavericks are led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 34.6 points per game.

The Thunder lost to the Utah Jazz 124-117 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 3-point road favorite. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and 8 of their last 11. Oklahoma City has covered just 5 of those games though. It is 31-20 ATS on the season and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 home games. The Thunder are led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 31.1 points per game.

Thunder at Mavericks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Mavericks +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -2 (-110) | Mavericks +2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Mavericks key injuries

Thunder

F Gordon Hayward (calf) out

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (nose) probable
G Dante Exum (knee) out
G Kyrie Irving (thumb) out
C Dereck Lively II (nasal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Thunder 115

Moneyline

BET MAVERICKS (+108).

Dallas has been surging with Doncic and Irving both back in action. The Mavs have won 3 games in a row, beating the Knicks, 76ers and Nets all on the road over the last week. The Mavericks have won 5 of their last 8 and should have their superstars active.

The Thunder have a road loss to the Pistons and Jazz in their last 6 games. They are 3-3 straight up over those 6 and have struggled to cover, just 1-5 ATS as well. OKC has allowed 124 or more in 2 straight games. Its defense is a major concern against an incredibly efficient offense in Dallas.

Expect Dallas to keep its recent string of wins alive and take MAVERICKS (+108).

Against the spread

PASS.

The home underdog moneyline play is the better value. Take it instead of the Mavs on the spread.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 240.5 (-110).

The Thunder are 3-4 O/U in their last 7 games. They have scored 110 or fewer in 4 of those and have allowed 107 or fewer in 4 as well.

Both teams will push the tempo, but neither sit in the top 8 in pace. The speed of how this game should be played doesn't justify this high of a spread. The Mavs are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games.

Considering the trends for both teams, take UNDER 240.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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