Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions
The Sacramento Kings (30-21) and Oklahoma City Thunder (35-17) meet at Paycom Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Kings vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Kings lead 2-0
The Kings snapped a 2-game straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) skid with a cover as 3-point home favorites in a 135-106 win vs. the Denver Nuggets Friday as the Under (230) hit.
The Thunder, who have the 2nd-best ATS record in the league at 31-20-1, have lost back-to-back games SU and have failed to cover in 3 straight. Their most recent outing was a 146-111 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Saturday as the Over (239) cashed; Oklahoma City was a 1.5-point favorite.
The Kings have covered in both meetings against the Thunder this season, and the Over/Under (O/U) has gone 1-1. Sacramento was a 1.5-point home underdog in the Nov. 10 meeting and a 2.5-point home favorite Dec. 14.
Kings at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Thunder -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings +3.5 (-115) | Thunder -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Kings at Thunder key injuries
Kings
- None
Thunder
- F Gordon Hayward (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Kings at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 120, Kings 110
Moneyline
The consensus in the market is that the THUNDER (-150) should still be favored despite losing the 1st 2 meetings and playing on a back-to-back. The Kings are coming off a 29-point win over the defending NBA champions, and this line still moved toward Oklahoma City Saturday night.
BET THUNDER (-150) if you are comfortable risking $150 to win $100. If not, look to the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
For those who are uncomfortable betting the ML, this spread is still at a reasonable number. While I don't believe in trap games, this is a spot where some bettors will get burned thinking the Kings catching 3.5 is free money. Oklahoma City is 14-7 ATS as a home favorite this season and 5-3 ATS when playing on no rest.
I prefer the ML, but I'm not against laying the points with THUNDER -3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Over is 30-22 in Thunder games this season and 26-23-2 for the Kings. However, Oklahoma City should put forth a much better effort on the defensive end after allowing 146 points Saturday. The Thunder know that the Kings are among the best offenses in the NBA -- 8th-highest scoring team at 118.7 points per game -- and Oklahoma City will be extra motivated to not give up 120-plus points for a 4th straight outing.
BET UNDER 239.5 (-105).
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