Ohio at Toledo odds, picks and predictions
The Ohio Bobcats (13-11, 7-4 MAC) and Toledo Rockets (15-9, 9-2) meet Friday at Savage Arena in Toledo. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Ohio vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Bobcats are coming off a 100-87 loss in a non-conference game as 2.5-point road underdogs at Arkansas State Saturday in the MAC-SBC Challenge. That setback snapped a 4-game win and cover streak. The Over (157.5) comfortably cashed, and is 3-1 across OU's past 4 outings.
The Rockets picked up an 86-77 win in Athens as 2-point underdogs in the 1st meeting with the Bobcats (Jan. 2), and the Over (160) just inched across the finish line.
Toledo suffered an excruciating 109-104 double-OT loss at Appalachian State Saturday, although the Rockets did hang on for the cover as 6.5-point underdogs with the Over (150) easily connecting. The Rockets are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 outings, while the Over is also 4-2 during the span.
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Ohio at Toledo odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ohio +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Toledo -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Ohio +5.5 (-112) | Toledo -5.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Ohio at Toledo picks and predictions
Prediction
Toledo 88, Ohio 77
Moneyline
PASS.
The Rockets (-220) have won 5 in a row in the series, while securing victories in 9 of the past 10 meetings. It's rather surprising, too, because Ohio has had some really good teams during the stretch, but the Rockets just seem to have the Bobcats' number.
However, this price is too steep to play. Focus on the spread and O/U below.
Against the spread
TOLEDO -5.5 (-108) is a strong play, laying the points. The Rockets have covered each of the past 5 meetings vs. the Bobcats, including the 9-point victory at Ohio Jan. 2.
The average margin of victory for the Rockets during the 5-game series win streak is 12.8 points per game (PPG), and Toledo has won 9 out of the past 10 meetings by at least 7 points.
The lone win by Ohio in the previous 10 battles came March 12, 2021, in Toledo with the Bobcats posting an 87-80 win as 2.5-point underdogs. However, Toledo is rolling in the series, and worth backing vs. Ohio until the Bobcats can stop the Rockets' dominance.
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Over/Under
OVER 159.5 (-115) is the way to go in this MACtion battle.
The Over cashed in the 1st meeting (Jan. 2), and the total has gone high in 6 of the past 8 installments in this series.
Ohio has seen the Over cash in 3 of the past 4 outings, exploding for 84 or more points in those higher-scoring contests. Defensively, the Bobcats have really struggled, allowing 72.4 PPG, including opponents hitting hit 3-pointers at a 33.5% clip, which is middle of the road nationally.
Toledo has hit the Over in 4 of the past 6 outings, scoring 88 or more points in 5 of the previous 6 games. For the Rockets, it's all gas and no brakes, scoring 80.7 PPG, while hitting triples at a 37.2% pace. But defensively, Toledo is poor, allowing 77.4 PPG, while teams hit at a 49.2% clip from the field, and 34.6% from behind the 3-point arc.
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