Duke at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Drew Phelps | Staff Writer

The No. 8 Duke Blue Devils (19-5, 10-3 ACC) head to Donald L. Tucker Center to face the Florida State Seminoles (13-11, 7-6) Saturday at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Florida State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Duke, which is No. 8 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, picked up their 6th win in their last 7 games Monday night over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. They covered the spread as a 7-point favorite, 77-69, and the Under (156.5) hit. Four Blue Devil starters scored in double figures, led by sophomore F Mark Mitchell's 23 points. Sophomore big man Kyle Filipowski notched his 8th double-double (21 points and 11 rebounds) of the season in the victory. Duke is just a half-game behind 1st-place North Carolina after the Tar Heels also lost Tuesday at Syracuse.

Florida State is grappling with a challenging stretch, having lost 4 of its last 5 games. They have conceding an average of 88 points in the last 3 losses and ranking 3rd in the conference for points allowed per game throughout the season, averaging 74.7 points. In a recent defeat against Virginia Tech, Florida State not only allowed 44 second-half points but also faced a significant rebounding deficit, being outrebounded 35-23. Amidst these challenges, junior F Jamir Watkins has emerged as a bright spot for the team, showcasing impressive offensive prowess. The VCU transfer led the Seminoles with 26 points in the latest game.

Duke has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matchup with Florida State. That includes their last meeting Dec. 31, 2022, when the Blue Devils won 86-67, which covered the 17-point spread and the Over (143.5) hit.

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Duke at Florida State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Duke -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Florida State +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread (ATS): Duke -5.5 (-112) | Florida State +5.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Duke at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 83, Florida State 74

Moneyline

PASS.

You should avoid betting Duke at -235 because betting more than 2 units to win 1 back is never a good idea. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET DUKE -5.5 (-112).

The Blue Devils are running hot right now, winning 6 of their last 7 and covering the spread in 3 of their last 4. They have also won 3 of their last 4 ACC road games.

The Seminoles are 1-3-1 against the spread in their last 5. They have also lost their last 3 at home in conference play.

Duke has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Florida State and have covered the spread in the last 2 matchups.

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Over/Under

PASS.

I'm going to save my money for the spread bet because I do not see a edge to bet either way with the total. These teams are a combined 10-10 in their last 10 games. Even in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, they are 5-4-1.

This looks like a total coin flip to me, which is never a good bet in my mind.

Get ready, North Carolina!

Online sports betting begins March 11

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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