Kentucky at Auburn odds, picks and predictions
The No. 20 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 7-4 SEC) take on the Auburn Tigers (20-5, 9-3) Saturday at Neville Arena. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Kentucky vs. Auburn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Wildcats, No. 20 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, have cascaded W's and L's the last 4 games with the latest a 75-63 victory over Ole Miss Tuesday. They covered the 8.5-point spread as favorites. The Cats are 5-5 straight up over the last 10 and 4-6 ATS. These teams have alternated W's and L's in the last 6 meetings with the home team prevailing each time.
The No. 12 Tigers took out their anger on South Carolina 101-61 Wednesday. Auburn avenged an 81-65 loss to the Florida Gators in the previous affair. F Jaylin Williams had 23, and F Johni Broome had 21 against the Gamecocks. Auburn is 7-3 straight up over the last 10 and 7-2-1 ATS.
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Kentucky at Auburn odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kentucky +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Auburn -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +8.5 (-110) | Auburn -8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Kentucky at Auburn picks and predictions
Prediction
Auburn 82, Kentucky 76
Moneyline
UK hasn't been consistent enough to take a chance on here, and there's no play on Auburn as such a heavy favorite.
Jaylin Williams Over 16.5 Points (-115) is tempting. He's just so inconsistent with 23, 6, 26, 16, 21, 10 and 7 points in the last 7 games. He also had just 13 against UK last year.
PASS.
Against the spread
This is the biggest spread Auburn has had vs. UK since 2018, and it's just 4-6 ATS in the last 10. The last 2 meetings in Auburn, though, the Tigers won by 9 and 7. The books have hedged between those numbers -- snarky machines they are!
BetMGM has a 33% odds boost token available. I'm leaning UK here, but the value of the odds boost seals the deal. Take KENTUCKY +8.5 (-110), and if you have the odds boost token, it comes out to +121, which means you're profiting $12.10 on a $10 bet.
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Over/Under
There hasn't been a total this high in this matchup in the last 10 games. There hasn't even been one north of 150 in the last 9. The Over is just 4-6 during that stretch. UK is 7-3 O/U over its last 10, and Auburn is 4-6. UK has touched 90 points 6 times in the last 10, which gives me some pause, but it hasn't done it against Auburn in the last 10. In fact, UK has averaged just 68.4 PPG in the last 5 at Auburn.
The choice is pretty clear here. Take the UNDER 164.5 (-110).
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