Miami at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Payton Shanks | Staff Writer

The Miami Hurricanes (15-13, 6-11 ACC) visit the No. 9 North Carolina Tar Heels (21-6, 13-3) Monday. Tip-off from Dean E. Smith Center is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Miami vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Miami suffered an 80-76 defeat at the hands of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Saturday while failing to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. Miami allowed Georgia Tech to shoot 44.1% from 3-point range in the loss. The Hurricanes have dropped 6 consecutive games straight up (SU) and 4 in a row against the spread (ATS).

North Carolina picked up a 54-44 win over the Virginia Cavaliers Saturday while covering as a 2.5-point road favorite. Despite picking up the win, UNC played terribly vs. Virginia, shooting only 32% from the field and 31.8% from deep. The Tar Heels have won back-to-back games SU and ATS.

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Miami at North Carolina odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Miami +820 (bet $100 to win $820) | North Carolina -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Miami +14.5 (-118) | North Carolina -14.5 (-104)
Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -115 | U: -111)

Miami at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 76, Miami 70

Moneyline

PASS.

UNC (-1600) will pick up the win, but such a heavy favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.

Against the spread

LEAN MIAMI +14.5 (-118).

Miami has covered in 4 straight meetings vs. UNC and is 6-3 ATS in the last 9.

This is a very slight lean, as the Tar Heels have been hotter ATS recently and slightly better ATS this season; North Carolina is 15-11-1 ATS and Miami is 14-13-1 ATS.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 154.5 (-111).

The Under is 4-2 in Miami's last 6 games and has hit 7 times in the Hurricanes' last 10. The Under hit in North Carolina's last outing and is 6-4 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 4 consecutive Miami-North Carolina matchups.

Both teams are usually solid offensively and mediocre defensively, but a total set at 154.5 is high enough to where I am still confident that the Under will hit.

Get ready, North Carolina!

Online sports betting begins March 11

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