Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and predictions
The Philadelphia Flyers (30-21-7) take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (25-21-8) in a Sunday matinee at PPG Paints Arena. Puck drop is set for 3:30 ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Flyers vs. Penguins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Flyers land in the Steel City on the 2nd game of a back-to-back after suffering a 2-1 home loss to the New York Rangers Saturday afternoon. They struggled to find the back of the net without RW Travis Konecny (upper body), who will miss this game as well. They had 40 shots and 10 high-danger chances, but could only muster 1 goal. Philly has lost 3 of 4 now.
The Pens have been resting since a 4-1 home win over the Montreal Canadiens Thursday. D Kris Letang nailed his 5th and 6th goals of the year in that one. The Pens are in a tough spot several points out of a Wild Card spot and playing without LW Jake Guentzel (upper body). They need to make a charge soon in order to avoid becoming sellers at the trade deadline.
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Flyers at Penguins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Flyers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Penguins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-175) | Penguins -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Flyers at Penguins projected goalies
Cal Petersen (2-1-0, 3.00 GAA, .890 SV%) vs. Tristan Jarry (15-17-4, 2.46 GAA, .916 SV%, 6 SO)
The former Kings goalie has only had 4 starts this year. His last one came Feb. 10, and it was a 3-2 victory over the Seattle Kraken. He stopped 17 of 19 shots fired his way. He faced the Pens once last year, and he was pulled after allowing 3 goals on 9 shots in 1 period.
Jarry has had a good February at 2-3-0 with a 2.03 GAA and a .930 SV% in 5 starts. Jarry lost to the Flyers in a shootout Dec. 2, stopping 30 of 33 shots fired his way in a 4-3 defeat.
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Flyers at Penguins picks and predictions
Prediction
Penguins 4, Flyers 1
Moneyline
Both teams are averaging just 2.6 goals per game over the last 10. The Penguins have come alive of late, though with 4 goals in the last 2 games and in 3 of the last 4.
So let's summarize this: The Penguins are desperate, at home, have their starting goalie, didn't play last night and in a better position offensively. So, the choice is pretty clear to me.
The only problem is, I'm not spending -165 on an inconsistent Pens squad. So SGP PENGUINS + PENGUINS OVER 3.5 TOTAL GOALS (+115).
Puck line/Against the spread
The Penguins have won 7 of the last 10 matchups, and 5 of those wins have been by 2+ goals.
The PENGUINS -1.5 (+145) are at a good value for the decided advantage they have.
Over/Under
As mentioned, these teams have each scored just 2.6 goals per game over the last 10. Pittsburgh is 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and Philadelphia is 4-6. The last 2 meetings have went Under this total.
Trends make me LEAN UNDER 6 (-115).
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