Davidson at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow | Staff Writer

The Davidson Wildcats (15-12, 5-9 A-10) and Dayton Flyers (21-5, 11-3) tussle in a Tuesday Atlantic-10 contest. Opening tip at UD Arena is slated for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Davidson vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Davidson is seeking its 1st win against Dayton in the last 9 meetings. The last time the Wildcats beat the Flyers was March 10, 2017 on a neutral floor in the A-10 Tournament. The 'Cats enter this game off a Saturday 66-63 loss as 5.5-point underdogs at Richmond. Davidson is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 games and has covered 3 in a row ATS on the road.

Dayton, ranked No. 20 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, lost its lone game last week. The Flyers, who lead the A-10 in defense by allowing just 64.5 points per game, were upset Wednesday as 3.5-point road favorites at George Mason 71-67. With 4 regular-season games to go, the Flyers are 1 game back of co-leaders Richmond and Loyola-Chicago in the A-10 standings.

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Davidson at Dayton odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:32 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Davidson +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Dayton -580 (bet $580 to win $100)
Against the spread: Davidson +10.5 (-115) | Dayton -10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Davidson at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 70, Davidson 60

Moneyline

Much juice here, and its drowning out value on both sides. PASS.

Against the spread

Davidson covered as an 11-point underdog in its last trip to UD Arena, a 68-61 defeat Jan. 17, 2023.

The Flyers' inside-the-arc defense has trended the wrong way of late. That loomed as a factor in recent non-covers against comps St. Bonaventure, VCU and George Mason. Plus, a similar game against Duquesne only covered with a late run by Dayton.

The Wildcats are a lean. Consider holding off and trying to wait out a +11.5-point line or better, and then consider a partial-unit play on Davidson.

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Over/Under

Davidson games lined with totals in the 130's have seen the Under go 12-4. The Under has cashed 9 times in 13 games when the Wildcats play a team with a winning record.

In this series, the Under has cashed in 3 straight, and the total was lower in 2 of those meetings.

Neither side is in the top-300 in the pace figures. Davidson is not a good 3-point-shooting team (31.4%), and UD does not cough up a lot of looks at the foul line. If the Wildcats get down a couple or 3 possessions, their comeback effort will likely be a 2-by-2 slog.

TAKE UNDER 133.5 (-110).

Get ready, North Carolina!

Online sports betting begins March 11

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