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Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions


The Miami Heat (31-25) continue a 6-game road trip Monday when they visit the Sacramento Kings (33-23). Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center (NBA TV). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Heat vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 1-0

The Heat have won 5 of their last 6 games, including their last 3 on the road. They have played 1 game since the All-Star break, winning at the New Orleans Hornets 106-95 Friday as 2-point underdogs with the Under (220.5) hitting. The game was marred by a 4th-quarter fight, which led to several suspensions.

The Kings also enter on a 3-game win streak. They are 2-0 since returning from the break with the recent win coming Sunday at the Los Angeles Clippers 123-107 as 4-point underdogs -- the Under (240) cashed with a 10-point cushion.

Heat at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:33 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Kings -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat +6.5 (-110) | Kings -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Heat at Kings key injuries

Heat

  • Thomas Bryant (suspension) out
  • Jimmy Butler (suspension) out
  • Tyler Herro (knee) questionable
  • Nikola Jovic (suspension) out
  • Josh Richardson (shoulder) out
  • Orlando Robinson (back) questionable
  • Terry Rozier (knee) questionable

Kings

Not yet submitted -- below was for Sunday's game

  • Alex Len (illness) questionable
  • Sasha Vezenkov (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 117, Heat 105

Moneyline

The Heat (+220) will be shorthanded thanks to the suspension of 3 players related to the fight against the Hornets. The Kings (-275) will be basically at full strength.

The Kings have won 3 straight. They are 4-4 with no rest and 8-7 with a rest disadvantage but are 16-9 at home and have won 3 of their last 4 games there. But at -275 odds, it isn't worth the action betting Sacramento, and betting Miami doesn't make sense with the players who will be out.

PASS.

Against the spread

Both teams have worse ATS records than their straight-up records. The Heat are 27-28-1 ATS overall and the Kings are 29-26-1 ATS.

The Kings have covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 wins. They are 18-19-1 ATS as the favorite. The Heat are 12-13 ATS as underdogs.

But missing several players, it will be tough for Miami to slow Sacramento's offense, which has scored 127 and 123 points in 2 games since the break.

BET KINGS -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Heat have not had a game reach 225 total points in their last 10 contests. They only average 110.5 points per game. They also only allow 110.1 PPG, the fourth-lowest average in the league.

The Kings average 118.6 PPG, 125.0 PPG in the 2 games since the break.

Miami will look to slow the pace, which will keep Sacramento from reaching 120, but the Heat will struggle to keep up offensively.

BET UNDER 225.5 (-115).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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