Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers odds, picks and predictions
The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-23-5) take on the Philadelphia Flyers (30-22-7) Tuesday at Wells Fargo Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Lightning vs. Flyers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Bolts snapped a 3-game losing streak this past weekend, downing the New York Islanders 4-2 Saturday and New Jersey Devils 4-1 Sunday, both on the road. RW Nikita Kucherov recorded 7 points combined in those 2 games, and his 102 points are the most in the NHL. The 30-year-old Russian superstar has the 3rd-shortest odds to win the Hart Trophy (+250 at FanDuel Sportsbook), behind Toronto Maple Leafs C Auston Matthews (+200) and Colorado Avalanche C Nathan MacKinnon (+230).
Tampa Bay LW Brandon Hagel is in the midst of a 13-game point streak, the longest active streak in the NHL and tied for 3rd-longest in Lightning history. It began on Jan. 23 vs Philadelphia, a game in which the Lightning won 6-3.
The Flyers have dropped 4 of their last 5, and their only win over that stretch was against lowly the Chicago Blackhawks. Philadelphia still possesses a 63.4% chance to make the postseason according to Moneypuck.com -- compared to 85.3% for Tampa -- and faces some tough decisions roster-wise as we inch closer to the trade deadline.
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Lightning at Flyers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lightning -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | Flyers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+176) | Flyers +1.5 (-215)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)
Lightning at Flyers projected goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy (20-14-0, 2.95 GAA, .897 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Samuel Ersson (16-11-4, 2.56 GAA, .900 SV%, 3 SO)
The Big Cat bounced back after a 3-game losing skid Saturday against the Islanders, stopping 32 of 34 New York shot attempts in Tampa's win. Vasilevskiy was the winning goalie in the Jan. 23 matchup vs. Philadelphia, and for his career, the 29-year-old is 13-3-0 against the Flyers.
Ersson got the night off in Philadelphia's last game vs. the Pittsburgh Penguins, and G Cal Petersen surrendered 7 goals in the loss. The 24-year-old Ersson benefits from having the highest percentage of shot attempts blocked by teammates among eligible goalies (25.06%).
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Lightning at Flyers picks and predictions
Prediction
Lightning 4, Flyers 2
Moneyline
BET LIGHTNING (-138).
Hagel's recorded 26 even-strength points dating back to Jan. 4, which trails only his teammate Kucherov, who has 27. C Brayden Point scored in the Jan. 23 meeting vs. Philadelphia and is riding a 6-game point streak. The Hagel/Point/Kucherov top line for Tampa will be too much for the Flyers.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
Tampa Bay features the top power play unit in the NHL (29.28 PP%), but the Flyers kill penalties at the highest rate in the Eastern Conference (86.10%). Expect a close game most of the way, and it will be challenging for Tampa to cover a puck line given their lack of success with an empty net this season.
Over/Under
BET UNDER -6.5 (-128).
If Philadelphia happens to go on the power play, Tampa may not have to sweat too much, as the Flyers feature the league's worst PP unit (13.23%). While Tampa has been strong offensively, the scoring has not come from C Steven Stamkos, who has failed to register a point in 5 straight games. Expect Philadelphia to shut down Tampa's captain with guys like RW Garnet Hathaway, who has the 2nd-most hits in the NHL (213).
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