Louisville at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Ryan Dodson | Staff Writer

The Louisville Cardinals (8-19, 3-13 ACC) take on the No. 10 Duke Blue Devils (21-6, 12-4) Wednesday at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Louisville vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Louisville has had 7 days to think about its 72-50 loss to Notre Dame last Wednesday. It was the Cardinals' 3rd straight defeat in what has been a nightmare season. Sophomore G Skyy Clark has been a bright spot of late as he has averaged 18.3 PPG over the last 3 games.

Duke, No. 10 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, snapped a 5-game winning streak with an 83-79 loss to Wake Forest Sunday. The biggest, and most-publicized loss, though, was C Kyle Filipowski. He suffered a knee injury in a collision with a fan, and he seems doubtful for this one. Senior G Jeremy Roach is averaging 15.4 PPG over the last 5, and the Dukies will lean on him in this one.

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Louisville at Duke odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Louisville +1600 (bet $100 to win $1,600) | Duke -4500 (bet $4,500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Louisville +19.5 (-102) | Duke -19.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Louisville at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 80, Louisville 65

Moneyline

Much has been made of the court-storming incident involving Duke and Filipowski, and needless to say, it could be a distraction. His loss will be felt, but Louisville has been hapless all season. Duke should cruise, but they are vulnerable. If you have a free bet and feel like using it on a lottery ticket, Louisville +1600 would land you $80 on a $5 free bet.

As mentioned, Roach is averaging 15.4 PPG over his last 5, and you're going to give me even money for him to do it again with Filipowski likely out or limited?

I'll take JEREMY ROACH OVER 14.5 POINTS (+100).

Against the spread

Shop around here, because I have seen Louisville up to +20.5. I don't expect Filipowski to play, and this will probably drop more when that occurs.

The Cardinals fell 83-69 at their place to Duke, and they're coming off consecutive 20-point losses, but with all the adversity Duke is facing, LOUISVILLE +19.5 (-102) is the clear choice.

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Over/Under

Wait until closer to game time to dive in here. The lines should move once Filipowski's status is revealed. Duke is just 3-7 O/U over the last 10, and Louisville is 5-5. The Over cashed in the last 2 meetings, but this one is a larger beast. I fully expect it to come down back into the 149.5 range.

So take advantage and roll with the UNDER 151.5 (-105).

Get ready, North Carolina!

Online sports betting begins March 11

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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