Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Corey Scott | Staff Writer

The Sacramento Kings (33-24) and Denver Nuggets (39-19) meet at Ball Arena Wednesday. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Kings vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Kings lead 3-0

The Kings snapped a 3-game winning streak with a 121-110 loss vs. the Miami Heat Monday as the Over (225) hit; Sacramento was a 7.5-point home favorite. C Domantas Sabonis had 14 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists for his NBA-leading 21st triple-double.

The Nuggets are coming off a cover as 1.5-point underdogs in a 119-103 win at the Golden State Warriors Sunday as the Under (232.5) cashed. C Nikola Jokic had his 3rd straight triple-double, finishing with 32 points, 16 rebounds and 16 assists.

Sacramento is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) vs. Denver this season, and the Over has gone 2-1. The most recent meeting was a 102-98 Kings road victory Feb. 14 as the Under (230) hit.

Kings at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Kings +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Nuggets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings +7.5 (-110) | Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Kings at Nuggets key injuries

Kings

G De'Aaron Fox (knee) questionable

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Kings at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Kings 115

Moneyline

It's unlikely that the Kings sweep the Nuggets (-300) in 4 games this season. However, it's hard to stay profitable betting -300 favorites.

PASS. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.

Against the spread

It's much easier to win long-term betting into -110/-110 markets, and it's not unreasonable to think the defending NBA champs will win by 8 or more at home in a triple-revenge game.

The Nuggets have struggled with urgency this season -- 25-31-2 ATS -- but seem to be ramping up the intensity after the All-Star break, going 3-0 straight up and ATS.

BET NUGGETS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over is 9-2 in the Kings' last 11 games, and Sacramento has allowed 121 or more points in 6 of its last 9.

The Nuggets should be able to score with ease against this Sacramento defense. Jokic leads the league in touches per game (100.8) but is just 24th in usage rate (29%), anchoring this Denver offense which is averaging 125.3 points per game post-All-Star break.

The Nuggets have come out more focused after the break and will likely score more than the 98 points they put up in the Feb. 14 meeting.

BET OVER 231.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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