Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Ryan Dodson | Staff Writer

The Golden State Warriors (34-30) take on the Dallas Mavericks (37-28) Wednesday with tip-off from American Airlines Center set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Warriors vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Mavs lead 1-0

The Dubs split a home-and-home with the San Antonio Spurs Saturday and Monday. They dropped the home game 126-113 and won the away game 112-102. This will mark their 3rd straight game without G Stephen Curry (ankle). G Klay Thompson stepped up with 27 and 21 points in the previous 2 games. He has shot 14-for-32 from distance (43.8%) over the last 3 games.

The Mavs followed up a 3-game losing streak with a 3-game victorious streak. The latest was a 127-92 showing Monday in which the matador was quicker than the Chicago Bulls. G Luka Doncic is on another level right now with triple-doubles in 7 straight games. He's averaging 35 points, 11.1 rebounds and 11.9 assists during the stretch.

Warriors at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +7.5 (-115) | Mavericks -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Warriors at Mavericks key injuries

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (ankle) out

Mavericks

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Mavericks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 122, Warriors 110

Moneyline

The Mavs are heavy favorites, and they should be. The Warriors have not been gangbusters even with Curry in the lineup. So there's no play on the moneyline, but there is a prop worth the spin.

We mentioned Doncic has trip-dubs in 7 straight games. Can he make it 8 against a depleted Warriors squad? Absolutely.

MGM is offering a 33% odds boost token on NBA wagers with -300 overall minimum odds. Let's go with LUKA DONCIC TRIPLE-DOUBLE (+130) that gets BOOSTED to +172.

Against the spread

The Mavs (without G Kyrie Irving) beat the Dubs (only without Draymond Green) by 10 earlier this season in their building. I have no faith in GS without Steph.

Let's skip the -7.5 spread, though. SGP MAVERICKS -5.5 + LUKA DONCIC 25+ POINTS (+100) for an even-money payoff. He has 25+ in 10 straight.

Over/Under

The Warriors are 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the Mavs are 5-5. The Over has struck gold in 8 of 10 meetings between the teams. The question here is do the Warriors have enough to score the 110 necessary to cash an Over or do they get the brakes beat off of them?

I think it falls short -- but just narrowly.

LEAN UNDER 232.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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