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ACC Tournament: NC State vs. Duke odds, picks and predictions


The NC State Wolfpack (19-14) face off against the Duke Blue Devils (24-7) in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament Thursday. Tip from Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the NC State vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

NC State has won back-to-back games after taking down Syracuse 83-65 Wednesday to cover as a 1.5-point underdog. G Jayden Taylor finished with a team-high 18 points, and all 4 NC State players who scored in double figures had at least 15. The Wolfpack shot 42.4% from the field in the win.

Duke snapped a 3-game winning streak with an 84-79 loss against North Carolina Saturday while failing to cover as a 4.5-point home favorite. C Kyle Filipowski scored a team-high 23 points while 4 Duke players scored in double figures. The Blue Devils saw just 7 points from their bench while the team shot 43.3% from the field in the loss.

Duke is No. 11 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll.

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NC State vs. Duke odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): NC State +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Duke -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): NC State +11.5 (-110) | Duke -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

NC State vs. Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 79, NC State 64

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Duke (-750), which is 8-2 in its last 10 games, to beat NC State, which is 4-6 in its last 10.

Against the spread

BET DUKE 11.5 (-110).

The Wolfpack are 14-18-1 ATS this season, including 3-5 ATS in its last 8 games and 1-3 ATS in its last 4. It has allowed 79 or more points in 5 of its last 6 games.

The Blue Devils are 18-13 ATS this season, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as favorites. They have covered the spread in 4 straight games as double-digit favorites.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 148.5 (-110).

While the Wolfpack have hit the Over consistently in the past 10 games -- 7-3 to the Over -- they have struggled to score recently. They have scored 73 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games and face a Duke defense that has allowed 69 or fewer in 8 of its last 10. Duke has hit the Over just twice in its last 10 games and has scored 79 or fewer points in 7 of its last 10.

The windows are open, North Carolina!

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