Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Jess Root | Staff Writer

The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) are on the road Thursday night to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20). Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET at Paycom Center (TNT). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 1-1

The Mavericks have won 4 straight games, including beating the Golden State Warriors at home 109-99 Wednesday, covering the 8.5-point as favorites. They are currently the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference, half a game out of the No. 6 seed.

The Thunder are 10-3 in their last 13 games, but are coming off a 121-111 home loss on Tuesday to the Indiana Pacers when they were 5.5-point favorites. They are the No. 2 seed in the West, only half a game behind the Denver Nuggets for the top seed.

Mavericks at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Thunder -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +10.5 (-105) | Thunder -10.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mavericks at Thunder key injuries

Mavericks (not yet submitted)

G Brandon Williams (wrist) questionable

Thunder

None to report

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 125, Mavericks 113

Moneyline

The Thunder have been amazing at home at 26-7. Only Boston and Denver have more home wins than they do. Their loss on Wednesday snapped a 9-game home winning streak. They have not lost consecutive home games since losing to the New Orleans Pelicans and Warriors Nov. 1 and 3.

The Mavs are 18-13 on the road this season and have won 3 of their last 4 road games.

But the Thunder are healthy and the odds are overwhelmingly in favor of them winning. You have to feel real confident in an upset and I am not, and betting the Thunder on the moneyline at -550 just doesn't make sense.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings against the Mavs, but the Mavs covered the spread in the 146-111 home win over OKC on Feb. 10.

The Mavs have covered the spread in 4 straight games but were favored in every game. They are 11-15 ATS as the underdog this season and 6-8 ATS as road dogs.

The Thunder are 29-20 ATS when favored and 19-9 ATS as home favorites.

BET THUNDER -10.5 (-115).

Over/Under

In the 2 meetings this season, the lowest total was 246 points.

The Mavs kept their last 2 opponents under 100 points but allowed an average of 125.6 points to their opponents in the previous 8 games.

The Thunder are 3rd in the NBA scoring 120.7 points per game, while the Mavs are 6th averaging 119.0.

Even in a double-digit win, expect a lot of points.

BET OVER 236.5 (-105).

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