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SEC Tournament: Georgia vs. Florida odds, picks and predictions


The Georgia Bulldogs (17-15) and Florida Gators (21-10) meet in the 2nd round of the SEC Tournament Thursday. Tip-off from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Georgia vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Georgia advanced to this slot in the SEC bracket with a 64-59 Wednesday triumph over Missouri, covering as a 2½-point favorite. From Jan. 27-March 2 -- a stretch that opened with a 102-98 overtime loss to these Gators -- the Bulldogs went just 1-9. Georgia finished with a 6-12 conference record and is the No. 11 seed in the tournament.

Florida went 11-7 in league play and is the No. 6 seed in this 14-team tournament. The Gators are in Nashville for a 2nd straight game; they closed out their regular season at Vanderbilt Saturday. Vandy downed 9-point-favorite UF 79-78.

UF swept the regular-season series, 2-0.

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Georgia vs. Florida odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Georgia +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Florida -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Georgia +8.5 (-115) | Florida -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Georgia vs. Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 86, Georgia 75

Moneyline

There's a lot of juice drowning out any potential leverage on both ends. PASS.

Against the spread

The Bulldogs have gone 1-8 ATS over their last 9 games on 1 day of rest or less and are 3-8 ATS across their last 11 on a neutral floor.

Against the number, Florida is 4-1 in its last 5 games after a straight-up loss.

UF went just 5-for-17 (29.4%) from 3-point range in its loss to Vanderbilt, but the Gators shot 36.4% on such looks over their previous 6 games. That strength included a 37.5% game against these Bulldogs, an 88-82 win in Athens Feb. 17.

Figure Florida as getting more quality attempts on 3s and at the rim. The Gators are much the better team on the boards, and 2nd chances against a UGA defense which is inconsistent at best are likely to make for a game that gets into double digits.

TAKE FLORIDA -8.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The last 5 Georgia-Florida contests have produced 4 Overs (4-1 O/U). The last 13 times UGA has allowed 60 points or fewer in a game, the Over went 9-4 the next time out. And the Over has gone 5-1 in 6 Florida neutral-site games.

With the Bulldogs piling up free throws and the up-tempo Gators filing a lot of 2nd-chance points and 3s, expect the Over to get pressure in this one.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best number to leverage. TAKE THE OVER 154.5 (-115).

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