ACC Tournament: Pitt vs. North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The No. 4 North Carolina Tar Heels (26-6) battle the Pittsburgh Panthers (22-10) in the ACC Tournament semifinals from Capital One Arena Friday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Pitt vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

North Carolina is No. 4 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Tar Heels finished atop the conference and earned a double-bye, throttling the Florida State Seminoles 92-67 in their quarterfinals matchup and covering as 11.5-point favorites. They have won 7 in a row and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) over that span. North Carolina, the tournament included, is 18-13-1 ATS on the season.

The Panthers also earned a double-bye and finished 4th in the ACC. They beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 81-69 Thursday, covering as 2-point underdogs. Pitt has won 4 straight games and has covered in each. It is 20-11-1 ATS on the season. It lost 70-57 at home in its lone battle against UNC earlier in the season, failing to cover as a 4-point underdog.

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Pitt vs. North Carolina odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | North Carolina -285 (bet $285 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +6.5 (-102) | North Carolina -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pitt vs. North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 80, Pitt 75

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tar Heels (-285) are the better team and should come out on top. However, at -285, there's no value in taking the favorite.

Against the spread

BET PITT +6.5 (-102).

The Panthers are hot and it is March, a dangerous combination as underdogs of this amount. Pitt won 9 of its last 11 conference games, including a road win over Virginia, a home win over Wake Forest and a road win over NC State. It also beat a Wake Forest team that is a solid side by 12 Thursday.

While North Carolina is a strong side and has depth, it has failed to cover in 5 of its last 10 and is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games as a single-digit favorite. Not many teams can hang with the North Carolina offense, but Pitt also has 4 players averaging 9 or more points per game.

Expect a close game, and take the underdog given this size of the spread. Back PITT +6.5 (-102).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 147.5 (-110).

As noted, both teams have an ample amount of scoring options. The Tar Heels have gone Over in 2 straight games, scoring at least 84 in both. They have scored at least 79 points in 4 straight games and have a potent offense behind one of the best guards in the nation in G RJ Davis.

The Panthers went 17-12-2 O/U during the regular season and have gone Over in 4 straight games. They have scored at least 81 points in 4 straight. Pitt has scored at least 79 in 6 of its last 8 games.

Given those trends, take OVER 147.5 (-110).

The windows are open, North Carolina!

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