Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions
The Boston Red Sox (59-51) visit the Kansas City Royals (63-50) on Monday to start a 3-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Red Sox vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1
Boston got back into the win column on Sunday with a 7-2 win over the Rangers to cover as a +106 road underdog. RF Wilyer Abreu led the way on offense with 2 HRs and 4 RBIs.
Kansas City also found its way back into the win column on Sunday with a 3-2 win over the Tigers to cover as a -127 road favorite. LF MJ Melendez hit a pinch-hit 3-run HR in the top of the 9th inning.
Red Sox at Royals projected starters
LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Brady Singer
Paxton (8-3, 4.52 ERA) makes his 20th start, and 2nd for the Red Sox. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.71 BB/9 and 6.63 K/9 in 93 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 10-6 loss against Seattle Mariners Tuesday
- Career vs. Royals: 4-1, 2.57 ERA (49 IP, 14 ER), 42 H, 8 BB, 59 K in 9 starts; last outing in 2023
Singer (8-6, 2.88 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.59 BB/9 and 8.28 K/9 in 125 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-3 win at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 4.11 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 18 H, 4 BB, 12 K in 3 starts
- Gave ups 4 ER on 8 H in 2 2/3 IP in July 14 loss to Boston
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Red Sox at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Royals -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Red Sox at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 5, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
BET ROYALS (-145).
Kansas City is 7-3 in its last 10 games including 6-1 in its last 7. It has scored 5 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6. Paxton is still settling in for the Red Sox, getting pulled after 4 1/3 innings after allowing 3 runs in his 1st start since being traded. While both pitchers have been solid this season, Singer has the advantage at home.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline is the best play for the Royals in this matchup.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 10 (-115).
Both teams have been performing well on offense recently, however 10 runs is too high of a total with the starting pitchers Monday. Paxton has a 4.52 ERA while Singer has a 2.88 ERA. Boston has held opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 4 games while scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 4 games while Kanas City has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6.
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