UFC 315 predictions: Picks and odds for Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena
UFC welterweight champion Belal Muhammad is on the brink of a momentous chapter in his career as he readies himself to defend his title against Australian Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 315 on Saturday at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada.
Muhammad holds a record of 24 wins and three losses. He claimed the title after winning a unanimous decision against Leon Edwards at UFC 304. Since his last loss in January 2019, when Geoff Neal defeated him via unanimous decision, Muhammad has not lost a match.
Della Maddalena's ascent to the title contention has been surprising. His journey began with Shavkat Rakhmonov's injury announcement, which opened the door for him. Currently on an undefeated 17-fight streak, Della Maddalena has not lost a match since May 2016, when he lost to Darcy Vendy via submission.
Here are the current predictions, odds, and how to watch UFC 315.
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena predictions
CBS Sports: Ian Machado Garry picks Belal Muhammad
Gary told CBS Sports: "Every minute that goes by puts Belal in a better position because he is a workhorse. He's a grinder. He'll grab hold of you and beat you. He'll be in your grill. He will make it ugly. He will slam you. He will constantly be there. I've watched Jack get ragdolled by people who aren't as good as Belal... Honestly, I think he gets a finish in the later rounds. If Jack can survive until three or four, I think that's when the finish will come."
Bleacher Report: Two of the three combat sports experts pick Belal Muhammad
Tom Taylor writes: "Della Maddalena is one of my favorite fighters to watch right now, but I’ve got to disagree with Lyle on this one. While the Aussie is a much sharper striker than Muhammad, I don't think that will matter much. Muhammad is a master at overwhelming his opponents on the mat, and we saw Gilbert Burns successfully control Della Maddalena in that area. Considering Della Maddalena hasn't fought since his win over Burns, which was well over a year ago, ring rust could also be a factor for him. I just can't shake the feeling that he will get mauled, even if he's too tough to be finished."
Sports Illustrated: Leon Edwards picks Jack Della Maddalena
Mathew Riddle writes Edwards' remarks on the Ariel Helwani Show: "If I could put money on it I'd probably favor JDM. My thing with JDM is his boxing will probably shut him down and he's a good anti-grappler, like you can take him down but his scrambles on the floor are good. I feel like Belal won't be enough to hold him down for that long."
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena odds
Odds according to BetMGM as of Thursday, May 8.
- Belal Muhammad: -180
- Della Maddalena: +145
How to watch Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena
- Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Main card start time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena start time: Approximately 12:30 a.m. ET.
- Steam: Early Prelims & Prelims on ESPN+, main card on ESPN+ PPV
- Location: Bell Centre (Montreal)
UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena card odds
All odds are for moneyline bets as of Thursday, according to BetMGM.
Main card
- Welterweight Title: Belal Muhammad (-180) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (+145)
- Flyweight title: Valentina Shevchenko (+110) vs. Manon Fiorot (-135)
- Bantamweight: Jose Aldo (-210) vs. Aiemann Zahabi (+170)
- Flyweight: Alexa Grasso (+200) vs. Natalia Silva (-250)
- Lightweight: Benoit Saint Denis (-1200) vs. Kyle Prepolec (+725)
Prelims
- Welterweight: Mike Malott (-170) vs. Charles Radtke (+140)
- Flyweight: Jessica Andrade (+240) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (-300)
- Light heavyweight: Modestas Bukauskas (-105) vs. Ion Cutelaba (-115)
- Light heavyweight: Navajo Stirling (-325) vs. Ivan Erslan (+260)
Early prelims
- Middleweight: Marc-Andre Barriault (-150) vs. Bruno Silva (+125)
- Featherweight: Daniel Santos (+105) vs. Jeong Yeong Lee (-125)
- Bantamweight: Brad Katona (+125) vs. Bekzat Almakhan (-155)